Our Q1 2026 Overview

Quarterly intelligence we prepare for our HNWI and UHNWI clients. Prices, yields, capital flows and the structural shifts defining the next cycle.

Headline Numbers

The market at a glance.

+19.3%

Prime residential price growth we tracked in the 12 months to Q1 2026.

6.4%

Average gross yield we are seeing on prime apartments across our mandates.

AED 432B

Total transaction value recorded across the market last reporting year.

1 in 3

Global HNWI relocations now place Dubai inside their top three destinations.

Inside The Report

Where we see the prime market moving.

Prime and Ultra Prime

Palm Jumeirah, Emirates Hills, District One and Jumeirah Bay continue to define the upper end of the market for our clients. We are seeing the bulk of UHNWI capital flow into branded residences such as Bulgari, Atlantis The Royal, Six Senses and Baccarat, with average ticket sizes now well above AED 25M.

Off Plan and New Launches

The developer pipeline is heavily skewed toward lifestyle led, low density product. We stay selective on your behalf. We focus on schemes backed by tier one developers with proven delivery records and master plans that protect future resale.

Yield Outlook

Rental growth is normalising after two exceptional years, yet absolute yields remain attractive against London, Singapore and New York. We see the strongest performance in serviced and branded inventory positioned for the regional and CIS HNWI tenant.

Capital Flows

Inbound capital from India, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, China and the CIS continues to dominate. The Golden Visa, zero personal income tax and a deepening private banking ecosystem are reinforcing the city as the preferred residency hub for global wealth.

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We share a detailed 40 page report with community level pricing, comparable transactions and our 12 month outlook. It is sent privately to qualified investors on request.

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Market Report FAQs

Headline transaction volumes are at record levels, but the fundamentals differ from the 2008 cycle. End user demand from new residents, family offices and relocations is structural. Mortgage penetration remains low and leverage is conservative. We see a maturing prime segment with selective overheating in mid market off plan, which is why we are deliberate about which projects we recommend.